Israeli ground operations since mid-March 2026 remain concentrated in southern Lebanon, with forces advancing past the Litani River, establishing buffer zones, and conducting raids near towns such as Bint Jbeil, Khiam, and Nabatieh. Airstrikes have repeatedly hit Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahiya), including a June 7 strike on a command center, alongside warnings that further Hezbollah rocket or drone attacks on Israel would trigger expanded strikes there. US-mediated ceasefire talks produced short-lived truces in April and June, but Hezbollah rejected key terms requiring its withdrawal from southern zones while Israeli forces remain in place. Trader assessments of any near-term ground entry into Beirut proper reflect the absence of such movements to date, the focus on southern objectives, ongoing diplomatic channels, and risks of escalation tied to Hezbollah cross-border fire or stalled negotiations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIsraeli forces enter Beirut by...?
$40,463 KL.

June 30
2%
$40,463 KL.

June 30
2%
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli ground operations since mid-March 2026 remain concentrated in southern Lebanon, with forces advancing past the Litani River, establishing buffer zones, and conducting raids near towns such as Bint Jbeil, Khiam, and Nabatieh. Airstrikes have repeatedly hit Hezbollah targets in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahiya), including a June 7 strike on a command center, alongside warnings that further Hezbollah rocket or drone attacks on Israel would trigger expanded strikes there. US-mediated ceasefire talks produced short-lived truces in April and June, but Hezbollah rejected key terms requiring its withdrawal from southern zones while Israeli forces remain in place. Trader assessments of any near-term ground entry into Beirut proper reflect the absence of such movements to date, the focus on southern objectives, ongoing diplomatic channels, and risks of escalation tied to Hezbollah cross-border fire or stalled negotiations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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