The October 27, 2026, Knesset elections produced certified results after the Central Elections Committee reviewed polling stations and rejected claims that foreign funding or other irregularities altered seat allocations for Netanyahu’s bloc or the opposition. Israeli law requires any annulment appeal to demonstrate that violations significantly affected outcomes, with strict deadlines and judicial review by the District Court or higher authorities. Traders assign 98.7% probability to “No” because the committee’s verification process and plenary approval have removed the procedural foundation for invalidation before the market’s January 2027 resolution. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether ongoing Shin Bet inquiries into foreign interference could produce court-accepted evidence capable of triggering a full or partial revote.
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