Ayatollah Ali Khamenei maintains a historically low rate of official social media activity, with most weeks featuring minimal or no new posts absent acute crises or formal announcements. Trader consensus placing an 85% implied probability on fewer than five posts during May 12-19, 2026, aligns with this established pattern and the absence of major diplomatic summits, leadership statements, or escalations in regional tensions that would typically prompt additional output. No immediate legislative, military, or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to alter baseline frequency, leaving higher-volume outcomes priced at single digits as low-probability contingencies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 91%
5-9 10%
10-14 2.2%
15-19 1.7%
$10,585 KL.
$10,585 KL.
May 19, 2026
<5
87%
5-9
10%
10-14
2%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 91%
5-9 10%
10-14 2.2%
15-19 1.7%
$10,585 KL.
$10,585 KL.
May 19, 2026
<5
$1,956 KL.
87%
5-9
$1,851 KL.
10%
10-14
$659 KL.
2%
15-19
$1,155 KL.
2%
20-24
$818 KL.
1%
25-29
$401 KL.
<1%
30-34
$458 KL.
<1%
35-39
$443 KL.
<1%
40-44
$596 KL.
<1%
45-49
$484 KL.
<1%
50-54
$489 KL.
<1%
55-59
$609 KL.
<1%
60+
$666 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei maintains a historically low rate of official social media activity, with most weeks featuring minimal or no new posts absent acute crises or formal announcements. Trader consensus placing an 85% implied probability on fewer than five posts during May 12-19, 2026, aligns with this established pattern and the absence of major diplomatic summits, leadership statements, or escalations in regional tensions that would typically prompt additional output. No immediate legislative, military, or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to alter baseline frequency, leaving higher-volume outcomes priced at single digits as low-probability contingencies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,585Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei maintains a historically low rate of official social media activity, with most weeks featuring minimal or no new posts absent acute crises or formal announcements. Trader consensus placing an 85% implied probability on fewer than five posts during May 12-19, 2026, aligns with this established pattern and the absence of major diplomatic summits, leadership statements, or escalations in regional tensions that would typically prompt additional output. No immediate legislative, military, or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to alter baseline frequency, leaving higher-volume outcomes priced at single digits as low-probability contingencies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$10,585Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei maintains a historically low rate of official social media activity, with most weeks featuring minimal or no new posts absent acute crises or formal announcements. Trader consensus placing an 85% implied probability on fewer than five posts during May 12-19, 2026, aligns with this established pattern and the absence of major diplomatic summits, leadership statements, or escalations in regional tensions that would typically prompt additional output. No immediate legislative, military, or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to alter baseline frequency, leaving higher-volume outcomes priced at single digits as low-probability contingencies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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