The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?
<5 94%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.6%
20-24 1.0%
$12,057 KL.
$12,057 KL.
May 19, 2026
<5
94%
5-9
2%
10-14
1%
15-19
2%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
5-9 2.4%
15-19 1.6%
20-24 1.0%
$12,057 KL.
$12,057 KL.
May 19, 2026
<5
$2,401 KL.
94%
5-9
$2,064 KL.
2%
10-14
$984 KL.
1%
15-19
$1,493 KL.
2%
20-24
$946 KL.
1%
25-29
$405 KL.
<1%
30-34
$458 KL.
1%
35-39
$448 KL.
<1%
40-44
$596 KL.
<1%
45-49
$484 KL.
<1%
50-54
$503 KL.
<1%
55-59
$609 KL.
<1%
60+
$666 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,057Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 12, 12:00 PM ET and May 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$12,057Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 3:07 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The reported martyrdom of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in February 2026 has led his official X account to function primarily as an archival platform for reposting prior statements, with activity limited to occasional historical content amid regional tensions. This pattern, compounded by reported injuries to successor Mojtaba Khamenei and conflicting health updates, has produced only minimal verified output since early May, aligning with the 94% trader consensus on fewer than five posts for the May 12–19 period. The account's bio now explicitly references the martyred leader, further signaling reduced new material. A sudden diplomatic escalation, major policy announcement from Iranian institutions, or shift in successor communications could still increase frequency before the May 19 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp