Goldman Sachs holds the strongest position as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s anticipated IPO, reflecting its recent selection alongside Morgan Stanley to prepare the confidential S-1 filing submitted in June 2026 and its track record leading comparable AI-related deals such as SpaceX. Traders assign Goldman an implied 75.5% probability due to its dominance in technology equity capital markets, established relationships with large artificial intelligence labs, and ability to manage complex valuations exceeding $800 billion. Morgan Stanley follows at 22.5% as a close co-lead with deep tech expertise, while other banks trail far behind. Reports of possible timing shifts into 2027 amid market volatility have not altered the bank hierarchy, though final syndicate decisions could still adjust based on regulatory filings or competitive dynamics with Anthropic.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.9%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 KL.
$42,650 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Goldman Sachs
76%
Morgan Stanley
23%
UBS
2%
Bank of America
1%
JPMorgan
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.9%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 KL.
$42,650 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Goldman Sachs
$7,177 KL.
76%
Morgan Stanley
$8,024 KL.
23%
UBS
$3,354 KL.
2%
Bank of America
$2,356 KL.
1%
JPMorgan
$3,802 KL.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$3,108 KL.
<1%
Citigroup
$2,522 KL.
<1%
Barclays
$3,392 KL.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$8,915 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds the strongest position as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s anticipated IPO, reflecting its recent selection alongside Morgan Stanley to prepare the confidential S-1 filing submitted in June 2026 and its track record leading comparable AI-related deals such as SpaceX. Traders assign Goldman an implied 75.5% probability due to its dominance in technology equity capital markets, established relationships with large artificial intelligence labs, and ability to manage complex valuations exceeding $800 billion. Morgan Stanley follows at 22.5% as a close co-lead with deep tech expertise, while other banks trail far behind. Reports of possible timing shifts into 2027 amid market volatility have not altered the bank hierarchy, though final syndicate decisions could still adjust based on regulatory filings or competitive dynamics with Anthropic.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$42,650Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds the strongest position as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s anticipated IPO, reflecting its recent selection alongside Morgan Stanley to prepare the confidential S-1 filing submitted in June 2026 and its track record leading comparable AI-related deals such as SpaceX. Traders assign Goldman an implied 75.5% probability due to its dominance in technology equity capital markets, established relationships with large artificial intelligence labs, and ability to manage complex valuations exceeding $800 billion. Morgan Stanley follows at 22.5% as a close co-lead with deep tech expertise, while other banks trail far behind. Reports of possible timing shifts into 2027 amid market volatility have not altered the bank hierarchy, though final syndicate decisions could still adjust based on regulatory filings or competitive dynamics with Anthropic.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$42,650Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds the strongest position as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s anticipated IPO, reflecting its recent selection alongside Morgan Stanley to prepare the confidential S-1 filing submitted in June 2026 and its track record leading comparable AI-related deals such as SpaceX. Traders assign Goldman an implied 75.5% probability due to its dominance in technology equity capital markets, established relationships with large artificial intelligence labs, and ability to manage complex valuations exceeding $800 billion. Morgan Stanley follows at 22.5% as a close co-lead with deep tech expertise, while other banks trail far behind. Reports of possible timing shifts into 2027 amid market volatility have not altered the bank hierarchy, though final syndicate decisions could still adjust based on regulatory filings or competitive dynamics with Anthropic.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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