Current forecast models point to overnight lows near 12–15°C in Amsterdam on September 23 under building high pressure and light southerly flow, yet the near-even market odds between ≤7°C (50%) and ≥17°C (48%) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover and wind shifts that control radiative cooling. Clear skies overnight enhance surface heat loss through longwave radiation, potentially dropping temperatures several degrees below guidance, while increased cloudiness or a stronger southerly advection of milder maritime air would limit cooling and support higher minima. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight this sensitivity, with resolution depending on the exact timing of any weak frontal passage and updated observational data from KNMI stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23?
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 96%
8°C 40%
10°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
7°C or below
100%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
96%
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 96%
8°C 40%
10°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
7°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
8°C
$0 KL.
40%
9°C
$0 KL.
39%
10°C
$0 KL.
40%
11°C
$0 KL.
40%
12°C
$0 KL.
40%
13°C
$0 KL.
40%
14°C
$0 KL.
22%
15°C
$0 KL.
39%
16°C
$0 KL.
39%
17°C or higher
$0 KL.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to overnight lows near 12–15°C in Amsterdam on September 23 under building high pressure and light southerly flow, yet the near-even market odds between ≤7°C (50%) and ≥17°C (48%) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover and wind shifts that control radiative cooling. Clear skies overnight enhance surface heat loss through longwave radiation, potentially dropping temperatures several degrees below guidance, while increased cloudiness or a stronger southerly advection of milder maritime air would limit cooling and support higher minima. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight this sensitivity, with resolution depending on the exact timing of any weak frontal passage and updated observational data from KNMI stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to overnight lows near 12–15°C in Amsterdam on September 23 under building high pressure and light southerly flow, yet the near-even market odds between ≤7°C (50%) and ≥17°C (48%) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover and wind shifts that control radiative cooling. Clear skies overnight enhance surface heat loss through longwave radiation, potentially dropping temperatures several degrees below guidance, while increased cloudiness or a stronger southerly advection of milder maritime air would limit cooling and support higher minima. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight this sensitivity, with resolution depending on the exact timing of any weak frontal passage and updated observational data from KNMI stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to overnight lows near 12–15°C in Amsterdam on September 23 under building high pressure and light southerly flow, yet the near-even market odds between ≤7°C (50%) and ≥17°C (48%) reflect uncertainty in cloud cover and wind shifts that control radiative cooling. Clear skies overnight enhance surface heat loss through longwave radiation, potentially dropping temperatures several degrees below guidance, while increased cloudiness or a stronger southerly advection of milder maritime air would limit cooling and support higher minima. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight this sensitivity, with resolution depending on the exact timing of any weak frontal passage and updated observational data from KNMI stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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