Forecast models for Ankara on August 23 indicate clear, dry conditions with light winds, supporting overnight radiative cooling that typically produces minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius. Ankara’s inland location and moderate elevation promote strong diurnal swings, with daytime highs near 35°C giving way to efficient nocturnal heat loss under minimal cloud cover and low humidity. Current guidance clusters lows between roughly 16–20°C, creating tight market-implied odds among the 15–19°C outcomes as traders weigh small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts. Historical August climatology shows average overnight lows near 17–18°C, providing context for the narrow spread. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.