Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a clear, dry night over Ankara with light northeasterly winds favoring radiative cooling, positioning the daily minimum near 10°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71% probability for exactly 10°C and 26.5% for 9°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of overnight lows typically reaching 10–12°C under current high-pressure conditions. Historical September baselines for the region average around 14°C, but the cooler anomaly stems from reduced cloud cover enhancing heat loss. Updated model guidance and official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations expected later today could refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
-
10°C
71%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
$116 KL.
-
10°C
$408 KL.
71%
11°C
$300 KL.
<1%
12°C
$35 KL.
<1%
13°C
$790 KL.
<1%
14°C
$0 KL.
<1%
15°C
$15 KL.
<1%
16°C
$0 KL.
<1%
17°C
$15 KL.
<1%
18°C
$712 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$723 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a clear, dry night over Ankara with light northeasterly winds favoring radiative cooling, positioning the daily minimum near 10°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71% probability for exactly 10°C and 26.5% for 9°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of overnight lows typically reaching 10–12°C under current high-pressure conditions. Historical September baselines for the region average around 14°C, but the cooler anomaly stems from reduced cloud cover enhancing heat loss. Updated model guidance and official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations expected later today could refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,114Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a clear, dry night over Ankara with light northeasterly winds favoring radiative cooling, positioning the daily minimum near 10°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71% probability for exactly 10°C and 26.5% for 9°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of overnight lows typically reaching 10–12°C under current high-pressure conditions. Historical September baselines for the region average around 14°C, but the cooler anomaly stems from reduced cloud cover enhancing heat loss. Updated model guidance and official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations expected later today could refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,114Ngày kết thúc
Sep 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs indicates a clear, dry night over Ankara with light northeasterly winds favoring radiative cooling, positioning the daily minimum near 10°C. This aligns with the market-implied 71% probability for exactly 10°C and 26.5% for 9°C or below, reflecting trader assessment of overnight lows typically reaching 10–12°C under current high-pressure conditions. Historical September baselines for the region average around 14°C, but the cooler anomaly stems from reduced cloud cover enhancing heat loss. Updated model guidance and official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations expected later today could refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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