Recent forecasts from official monitoring agencies place Beijing’s overnight low for August 21 near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus and the latest guidance issued on August 20 favor a minimum in the 23–24 °C range rather than cooler values typical of clearer nights, pushing trader-implied probabilities sharply toward those two outcomes. Historical August climatology (average low ~21 °C) and current steering patterns that maintain warmer boundary-layer air further support the market’s concentration at the upper end of the distribution, while probabilities below 22 °C remain negligible absent an unexpected clear-sky surge in cooling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
21°C 2%
22°C 2%
19°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
38%
24°C
62%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 2%
22°C 2%
19°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
$45 KL.
1%
19°C
$127 KL.
1%
20°C
$97 KL.
<1%
21°C
$92 KL.
2%
22°C
$87 KL.
2%
23°C
$445 KL.
38%
24°C
$168 KL.
62%
25°C
$150 KL.
<1%
26°C
$25 KL.
<1%
27°C
$95 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$95 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring agencies place Beijing’s overnight low for August 21 near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus and the latest guidance issued on August 20 favor a minimum in the 23–24 °C range rather than cooler values typical of clearer nights, pushing trader-implied probabilities sharply toward those two outcomes. Historical August climatology (average low ~21 °C) and current steering patterns that maintain warmer boundary-layer air further support the market’s concentration at the upper end of the distribution, while probabilities below 22 °C remain negligible absent an unexpected clear-sky surge in cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,427Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official monitoring agencies place Beijing’s overnight low for August 21 near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus and the latest guidance issued on August 20 favor a minimum in the 23–24 °C range rather than cooler values typical of clearer nights, pushing trader-implied probabilities sharply toward those two outcomes. Historical August climatology (average low ~21 °C) and current steering patterns that maintain warmer boundary-layer air further support the market’s concentration at the upper end of the distribution, while probabilities below 22 °C remain negligible absent an unexpected clear-sky surge in cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,427Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official monitoring agencies place Beijing’s overnight low for August 21 near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity limiting radiational cooling. Model consensus and the latest guidance issued on August 20 favor a minimum in the 23–24 °C range rather than cooler values typical of clearer nights, pushing trader-implied probabilities sharply toward those two outcomes. Historical August climatology (average low ~21 °C) and current steering patterns that maintain warmer boundary-layer air further support the market’s concentration at the upper end of the distribution, while probabilities below 22 °C remain negligible absent an unexpected clear-sky surge in cooling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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