Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 17 will likely fall in the 9–12°C range, driven by persistent southwesterly flow that advects milder maritime air and limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads and local observations show small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and the timing of any light showers, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 9–11°C, with modest weight on 12°C reflecting upside potential if winds remain stronger overnight. Updated high-resolution runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 17?
14°C 38%
15°C 38%
11°C 33%
10°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
7%
8°C
17%
9°C
24%
10°C
27%
11°C
33%
12°C
19%
13°C
26%
14°C
38%
15°C
38%
16°C or higher
8%
14°C 38%
15°C 38%
11°C 33%
10°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
6°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
7°C
$32 KL.
7%
8°C
$0 KL.
17%
9°C
$0 KL.
24%
10°C
$0 KL.
27%
11°C
$0 KL.
33%
12°C
$6 KL.
19%
13°C
$0 KL.
26%
14°C
$0 KL.
38%
15°C
$0 KL.
38%
16°C or higher
$0 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 17 will likely fall in the 9–12°C range, driven by persistent southwesterly flow that advects milder maritime air and limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads and local observations show small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and the timing of any light showers, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 9–11°C, with modest weight on 12°C reflecting upside potential if winds remain stronger overnight. Updated high-resolution runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 17 will likely fall in the 9–12°C range, driven by persistent southwesterly flow that advects milder maritime air and limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads and local observations show small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and the timing of any light showers, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 9–11°C, with modest weight on 12°C reflecting upside potential if winds remain stronger overnight. Updated high-resolution runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$38Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate overnight lows in Helsinki on September 17 will likely fall in the 9–12°C range, driven by persistent southwesterly flow that advects milder maritime air and limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble spreads and local observations show small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and the timing of any light showers, which can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 9–11°C, with modest weight on 12°C reflecting upside potential if winds remain stronger overnight. Updated high-resolution runs and official Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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