Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a nighttime low near 26°C on September 18, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24°C and recent observations around 25–26°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity levels typically limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima in the mid-20s rather than allowing drops toward 20°C or surges above 30°C. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances, reducing the likelihood of extreme deviations, though small changes in cloud cover or dew points could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band around typical late-summer values.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 18?
20°C or below 89%
30°C or higher 89%
27°C 49%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
89%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
16%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
89%
20°C or below 89%
30°C or higher 89%
27°C 49%
22°C 39%
20°C or below
89%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
16%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a nighttime low near 26°C on September 18, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24°C and recent observations around 25–26°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity levels typically limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima in the mid-20s rather than allowing drops toward 20°C or surges above 30°C. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies with low precipitation chances, reducing the likelihood of extreme deviations, though small changes in cloud cover or dew points could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band around typical late-summer values.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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