Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a nighttime low near 20–21°C on September 18 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling and support the market’s elevated probabilities around those thresholds. High humidity, light northerly winds, and the Sichuan Basin’s topography further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration shows stable conditions with minimal overnight clearing, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 18°C or above 23°C. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and any late-model shifts in cloud thickness will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 18?
15°C or below 95%
25°C or higher 92%
21°C 49%
17°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
95%
16°C
19%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
28%
22°C
39%
23°C
18%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
92%
15°C or below 95%
25°C or higher 92%
21°C 49%
17°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
15°C or below
$0 KL.
95%
16°C
$0 KL.
19%
17°C
$0 KL.
39%
18°C
$0 KL.
39%
19°C
$0 KL.
39%
20°C
$0 KL.
30%
21°C
$18 KL.
28%
22°C
$0 KL.
39%
23°C
$0 KL.
18%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C or higher
$0 KL.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a nighttime low near 20–21°C on September 18 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling and support the market’s elevated probabilities around those thresholds. High humidity, light northerly winds, and the Sichuan Basin’s topography further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration shows stable conditions with minimal overnight clearing, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 18°C or above 23°C. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and any late-model shifts in cloud thickness will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a nighttime low near 20–21°C on September 18 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling and support the market’s elevated probabilities around those thresholds. High humidity, light northerly winds, and the Sichuan Basin’s topography further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration shows stable conditions with minimal overnight clearing, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 18°C or above 23°C. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and any late-model shifts in cloud thickness will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$18Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a nighttime low near 20–21°C on September 18 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers, which limit radiative cooling and support the market’s elevated probabilities around those thresholds. High humidity, light northerly winds, and the Sichuan Basin’s topography further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat and moisture. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration shows stable conditions with minimal overnight clearing, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 18°C or above 23°C. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and any late-model shifts in cloud thickness will be the key variables traders monitor before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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