**Recent model runs and observational trends show Chengdu's overnight minimum on September 17 hovering near 19–20 °C amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover.** Multiple forecasts from sources including local meteorological services and international models indicate a low around 19 °C, with showers or rain tapering through the morning before skies partly clear. Persistent humidity (often 80–95 %) and light winds suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping the minimum from falling sharply, while any earlier clearing could allow temperatures to dip closer to 15–18 °C in localized areas. This narrow range, combined with minor disagreements across model ensembles on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 15 °C-or-below, 19 °C, and 25 °C-or-higher buckets. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or refined short-range ensembles expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 17?
15°C or below 69%
25°C or higher 69%
17°C 39%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
69%
16°C
37%
17°C
39%
18°C
26%
19°C
32%
20°C
23%
21°C
21%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
69%
15°C or below 69%
25°C or higher 69%
17°C 39%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$39 KL.
69%
16°C
$0 KL.
37%
17°C
$0 KL.
39%
18°C
$71 KL.
26%
19°C
$0 KL.
32%
20°C
$0 KL.
23%
21°C
$0 KL.
21%
22°C
$0 KL.
39%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
14%
25°C or higher
$0 KL.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model runs and observational trends show Chengdu's overnight minimum on September 17 hovering near 19–20 °C amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover.** Multiple forecasts from sources including local meteorological services and international models indicate a low around 19 °C, with showers or rain tapering through the morning before skies partly clear. Persistent humidity (often 80–95 %) and light winds suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping the minimum from falling sharply, while any earlier clearing could allow temperatures to dip closer to 15–18 °C in localized areas. This narrow range, combined with minor disagreements across model ensembles on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 15 °C-or-below, 19 °C, and 25 °C-or-higher buckets. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or refined short-range ensembles expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$71Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model runs and observational trends show Chengdu's overnight minimum on September 17 hovering near 19–20 °C amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover.** Multiple forecasts from sources including local meteorological services and international models indicate a low around 19 °C, with showers or rain tapering through the morning before skies partly clear. Persistent humidity (often 80–95 %) and light winds suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping the minimum from falling sharply, while any earlier clearing could allow temperatures to dip closer to 15–18 °C in localized areas. This narrow range, combined with minor disagreements across model ensembles on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 15 °C-or-below, 19 °C, and 25 °C-or-higher buckets. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or refined short-range ensembles expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$71Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model runs and observational trends show Chengdu's overnight minimum on September 17 hovering near 19–20 °C amid lingering moisture and variable cloud cover.** Multiple forecasts from sources including local meteorological services and international models indicate a low around 19 °C, with showers or rain tapering through the morning before skies partly clear. Persistent humidity (often 80–95 %) and light winds suppress strong radiative cooling, keeping the minimum from falling sharply, while any earlier clearing could allow temperatures to dip closer to 15–18 °C in localized areas. This narrow range, combined with minor disagreements across model ensembles on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, drives the closely matched market-implied probabilities across the 15 °C-or-below, 19 °C, and 25 °C-or-higher buckets. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or refined short-range ensembles expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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