The verified minimum temperature of 23°C recorded overnight on May 16 by the Hong Kong Observatory under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that curtailed radiational cooling has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May lows typically range from 22–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition and warm South China Sea influence, with the observed value aligning closely with seasonal climatology and ensemble model guidance from the Observatory. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the final official measurement rather than forecasts, though minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions remain the only realistic factors that could theoretically shift resolution in similar near-term temperature contracts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,336 KL.
$38,336 KL.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
-
21°C
1%
22°C
-
23°C
100%
24°C
1%
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
-
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,336 KL.
$38,336 KL.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$2,220 KL.
1%
19°C
$1,380 KL.
1%
20°C
$676 KL.
-
21°C
$2,786 KL.
1%
22°C
$1,677 KL.
-
23°C
$3,722 KL.
100%
24°C
$7,233 KL.
1%
25°C
$8,468 KL.
-
26°C
$5,324 KL.
-
27°C
$2,252 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$2,634 KL.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The verified minimum temperature of 23°C recorded overnight on May 16 by the Hong Kong Observatory under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that curtailed radiational cooling has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May lows typically range from 22–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition and warm South China Sea influence, with the observed value aligning closely with seasonal climatology and ensemble model guidance from the Observatory. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the final official measurement rather than forecasts, though minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions remain the only realistic factors that could theoretically shift resolution in similar near-term temperature contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38,336Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The verified minimum temperature of 23°C recorded overnight on May 16 by the Hong Kong Observatory under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that curtailed radiational cooling has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May lows typically range from 22–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition and warm South China Sea influence, with the observed value aligning closely with seasonal climatology and ensemble model guidance from the Observatory. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the final official measurement rather than forecasts, though minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions remain the only realistic factors that could theoretically shift resolution in similar near-term temperature contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$38,336Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe verified minimum temperature of 23°C recorded overnight on May 16 by the Hong Kong Observatory under a stable subtropical ridge and light winds that curtailed radiational cooling has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate, mid-May lows typically range from 22–25°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition and warm South China Sea influence, with the observed value aligning closely with seasonal climatology and ensemble model guidance from the Observatory. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects the final official measurement rather than forecasts, though minor station-specific variations or post-event data revisions remain the only realistic factors that could theoretically shift resolution in similar near-term temperature contracts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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