Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a minimum near 23°C for May 17, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea that maintains easterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent, and extensive cloud cover suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling in the boundary layer. These subtropical May conditions align closely with climatological norms at the official King’s Park station, where overnight lows typically average around 24°C. The tight clustering of model guidance around this value limits downside risk to 22°C or below while keeping higher outcomes improbable absent unexpected clear intervals or wind shifts. Traders monitor the evening Hong Kong Observatory bulletin and latest GFS/ECMWF runs for any final adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
23°C 89%
22°C 14.8%
21°C 3.8%
20°C <1%
$15,400 KL.
$15,400 KL.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
15%
23°C
89%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 89%
22°C 14.8%
21°C 3.8%
20°C <1%
$15,400 KL.
$15,400 KL.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,191 KL.
<1%
19°C
$953 KL.
<1%
20°C
$442 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,009 KL.
4%
22°C
$611 KL.
15%
23°C
$843 KL.
89%
24°C
$5,128 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,296 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,066 KL.
<1%
27°C
$670 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,200 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a minimum near 23°C for May 17, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea that maintains easterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent, and extensive cloud cover suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling in the boundary layer. These subtropical May conditions align closely with climatological norms at the official King’s Park station, where overnight lows typically average around 24°C. The tight clustering of model guidance around this value limits downside risk to 22°C or below while keeping higher outcomes improbable absent unexpected clear intervals or wind shifts. Traders monitor the evening Hong Kong Observatory bulletin and latest GFS/ECMWF runs for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,400Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a minimum near 23°C for May 17, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea that maintains easterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent, and extensive cloud cover suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling in the boundary layer. These subtropical May conditions align closely with climatological norms at the official King’s Park station, where overnight lows typically average around 24°C. The tight clustering of model guidance around this value limits downside risk to 22°C or below while keeping higher outcomes improbable absent unexpected clear intervals or wind shifts. Traders monitor the evening Hong Kong Observatory bulletin and latest GFS/ECMWF runs for any final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$15,400Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETHong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a minimum near 23°C for May 17, driven by a persistent low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea that maintains easterly winds of force 4–5, relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent, and extensive cloud cover suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling in the boundary layer. These subtropical May conditions align closely with climatological norms at the official King’s Park station, where overnight lows typically average around 24°C. The tight clustering of model guidance around this value limits downside risk to 22°C or below while keeping higher outcomes improbable absent unexpected clear intervals or wind shifts. Traders monitor the evening Hong Kong Observatory bulletin and latest GFS/ECMWF runs for any final adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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