Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory points to a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology, where overnight lows average 24–26°C, though a modest early-season warm anomaly and urban heat-island effects at the official station have nudged expectations slightly lower. Short-range model runs show strong consensus around this threshold, with minimal spread in predicted wind speeds and dew points. The near-certain market pricing reflects the narrow window for deviation, though a sudden clearing overnight or unexpected northerly surge could still push the reading to 22°C or below before official confirmation at midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
23°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$37,763 KL.
$37,763 KL.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$37,763 KL.
$37,763 KL.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$2,220 KL.
<1%
19°C
$1,380 KL.
<1%
20°C
$676 KL.
<1%
21°C
$2,778 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,608 KL.
<1%
23°C
$3,673 KL.
100%
24°C
$6,962 KL.
<1%
25°C
$8,376 KL.
<1%
26°C
$5,219 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,252 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,619 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory points to a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology, where overnight lows average 24–26°C, though a modest early-season warm anomaly and urban heat-island effects at the official station have nudged expectations slightly lower. Short-range model runs show strong consensus around this threshold, with minimal spread in predicted wind speeds and dew points. The near-certain market pricing reflects the narrow window for deviation, though a sudden clearing overnight or unexpected northerly surge could still push the reading to 22°C or below before official confirmation at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,763Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory points to a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology, where overnight lows average 24–26°C, though a modest early-season warm anomaly and urban heat-island effects at the official station have nudged expectations slightly lower. Short-range model runs show strong consensus around this threshold, with minimal spread in predicted wind speeds and dew points. The near-certain market pricing reflects the narrow window for deviation, though a sudden clearing overnight or unexpected northerly surge could still push the reading to 22°C or below before official confirmation at midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$37,763Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory points to a minimum temperature of 23°C for May 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with typical mid-May climatology, where overnight lows average 24–26°C, though a modest early-season warm anomaly and urban heat-island effects at the official station have nudged expectations slightly lower. Short-range model runs show strong consensus around this threshold, with minimal spread in predicted wind speeds and dew points. The near-certain market pricing reflects the narrow window for deviation, though a sudden clearing overnight or unexpected northerly surge could still push the reading to 22°C or below before official confirmation at midnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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