**Northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C under easterly winds of 4–8 m/s, moderate humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and dew-point depressions, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September minima average around 26°C, and current ensemble spreads show limited divergence, leaving 25°C and 27°C as plausible alternatives depending on the exact strength of the monsoon surge and any localized rain. Traders will watch the next HKO regional forecast updates and model runs for refinements before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
26°C 41%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
28°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
18%
26°C
41%
27°C
35%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 41%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
28°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
$182 KL.
1%
22°C
$182 KL.
1%
23°C
$182 KL.
1%
24°C
$120 KL.
6%
25°C
$224 KL.
18%
26°C
$157 KL.
41%
27°C
$859 KL.
35%
28°C
$279 KL.
7%
29°C
$60 KL.
2%
30°C
$172 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$172 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C under easterly winds of 4–8 m/s, moderate humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and dew-point depressions, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September minima average around 26°C, and current ensemble spreads show limited divergence, leaving 25°C and 27°C as plausible alternatives depending on the exact strength of the monsoon surge and any localized rain. Traders will watch the next HKO regional forecast updates and model runs for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,588Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C under easterly winds of 4–8 m/s, moderate humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and dew-point depressions, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September minima average around 26°C, and current ensemble spreads show limited divergence, leaving 25°C and 27°C as plausible alternatives depending on the exact strength of the monsoon surge and any localized rain. Traders will watch the next HKO regional forecast updates and model runs for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$2,588Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast monsoon flow and partly cloudy conditions are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C for Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 15.** Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C under easterly winds of 4–8 m/s, moderate humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and dew-point depressions, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Historical September minima average around 26°C, and current ensemble spreads show limited divergence, leaving 25°C and 27°C as plausible alternatives depending on the exact strength of the monsoon surge and any localized rain. Traders will watch the next HKO regional forecast updates and model runs for refinements before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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