Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and GFS runs shows Istanbul's overnight low on September 17 likely settling near 15–18°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, with light precipitation chances limiting radiative cooling. Persistent northerly winds and residual moisture from recent showers maintain moderate humidity and dew points around 14–16°C, preventing sharper drops while daytime heating reaches 23–26°C. This narrow range around typical mid-September norms explains the near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-15°C outcomes and milder readings, with updates from official agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 17?
15°C or below 89%
25°C or higher 89%
16°C 40%
21°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
89%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
89%
15°C or below 89%
25°C or higher 89%
16°C 40%
21°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$0 KL.
89%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$0 KL.
22%
18°C
$0 KL.
22%
19°C
$0 KL.
22%
20°C
$0 KL.
22%
21°C
$0 KL.
40%
22°C
$0 KL.
19%
23°C
$0 KL.
18%
24°C
$0 KL.
18%
25°C or higher
$0 KL.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and GFS runs shows Istanbul's overnight low on September 17 likely settling near 15–18°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, with light precipitation chances limiting radiative cooling. Persistent northerly winds and residual moisture from recent showers maintain moderate humidity and dew points around 14–16°C, preventing sharper drops while daytime heating reaches 23–26°C. This narrow range around typical mid-September norms explains the near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-15°C outcomes and milder readings, with updates from official agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and GFS runs shows Istanbul's overnight low on September 17 likely settling near 15–18°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, with light precipitation chances limiting radiative cooling. Persistent northerly winds and residual moisture from recent showers maintain moderate humidity and dew points around 14–16°C, preventing sharper drops while daytime heating reaches 23–26°C. This narrow range around typical mid-September norms explains the near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-15°C outcomes and milder readings, with updates from official agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and GFS runs shows Istanbul's overnight low on September 17 likely settling near 15–18°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, with light precipitation chances limiting radiative cooling. Persistent northerly winds and residual moisture from recent showers maintain moderate humidity and dew points around 14–16°C, preventing sharper drops while daytime heating reaches 23–26°C. This narrow range around typical mid-September norms explains the near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-15°C outcomes and milder readings, with updates from official agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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