Forecast models from sources including GFS and local meteorological services indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 16 will likely range between 17–20°C under persistent northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light precipitation chances. These conditions limit radiative cooling at night while moderating daytime highs near 21–24°C. Recent observations show stable high pressure with dew points supporting mild minimums, though slight model spreads in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average around 18°C overnight, aligning with current guidance and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around mid-range outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 16?
13°C or below 83%
23°C or higher 83%
16°C 40%
18°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
83%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
83%
13°C or below 83%
23°C or higher 83%
16°C 40%
18°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
$0 KL.
83%
14°C
$0 KL.
18%
15°C
$0 KL.
18%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$0 KL.
22%
18°C
$5 KL.
25%
19°C
$0 KL.
22%
20°C
$0 KL.
22%
21°C
$0 KL.
40%
22°C
$0 KL.
19%
23°C or higher
$0 KL.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and local meteorological services indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 16 will likely range between 17–20°C under persistent northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light precipitation chances. These conditions limit radiative cooling at night while moderating daytime highs near 21–24°C. Recent observations show stable high pressure with dew points supporting mild minimums, though slight model spreads in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average around 18°C overnight, aligning with current guidance and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around mid-range outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and local meteorological services indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 16 will likely range between 17–20°C under persistent northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light precipitation chances. These conditions limit radiative cooling at night while moderating daytime highs near 21–24°C. Recent observations show stable high pressure with dew points supporting mild minimums, though slight model spreads in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average around 18°C overnight, aligning with current guidance and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around mid-range outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and local meteorological services indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 16 will likely range between 17–20°C under persistent northeasterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and light precipitation chances. These conditions limit radiative cooling at night while moderating daytime highs near 21–24°C. Recent observations show stable high pressure with dew points supporting mild minimums, though slight model spreads in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines for the region average around 18°C overnight, aligning with current guidance and explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around mid-range outcomes rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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