Recent forecasts from agencies including AccuWeather and local Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Jinan of 18–21°C on September 18, supported by mild southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and modest overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This positioning keeps the market-implied probabilities for 12°C or below and 22°C or higher nearly even, as traders assess small model differences in cloud cover, wind mixing, and boundary-layer humidity that can alter the precise overnight low by 1–3°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 18°C, with current conditions showing no strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes to drive outliers. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will likely resolve the tight range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jinan on September 18?
12°C or below 100%
22°C or higher 88%
17°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
31%
17°C
40%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
88%
12°C or below 100%
22°C or higher 88%
17°C 40%
13°C 39%
12°C or below
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
31%
17°C
40%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including AccuWeather and local Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Jinan of 18–21°C on September 18, supported by mild southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and modest overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This positioning keeps the market-implied probabilities for 12°C or below and 22°C or higher nearly even, as traders assess small model differences in cloud cover, wind mixing, and boundary-layer humidity that can alter the precise overnight low by 1–3°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 18°C, with current conditions showing no strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes to drive outliers. Updated model runs and official observations through the night will likely resolve the tight range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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