Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those used by AccuWeather indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August monsoon conditions—high humidity, light winds, and coastal moderation—prevent significant radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows clustered around seasonal averages of 26–28°C. Recent observations show stable readings in this range with patchy rain and no major cold surge or clear-sky enhancement expected. Lower-probability outcomes like 24–26°C would require atypical cooling from stronger winds or clearer skies, while higher values remain unlikely given persistent moisture and heat retention. Updated model runs and official PMD briefings on monsoon withdrawal will provide the next key data points for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
27°C 94%
24°C 64%
26°C 17%
25°C 16%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
64%
25°C
16%
26°C
17%
27°C
81%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 94%
24°C 64%
26°C 17%
25°C 16%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
64%
25°C
16%
26°C
17%
27°C
81%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those used by AccuWeather indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August monsoon conditions—high humidity, light winds, and coastal moderation—prevent significant radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows clustered around seasonal averages of 26–28°C. Recent observations show stable readings in this range with patchy rain and no major cold surge or clear-sky enhancement expected. Lower-probability outcomes like 24–26°C would require atypical cooling from stronger winds or clearer skies, while higher values remain unlikely given persistent moisture and heat retention. Updated model runs and official PMD briefings on monsoon withdrawal will provide the next key data points for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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