**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Kuala Lumpur on August 27 due to persistent warm, humid conditions typical of the region's equatorial climate.** Official observations and forecast models from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department show overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid high dew points, extensive cloud cover, and urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. Historical August data indicate average daily lows of 24–25°C, but recent patterns with elevated humidity (often 80–90%) and light winds have pushed minima upward, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability for 26°C. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or an atypical influx of drier air enhancing nighttime cooling below this level, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 27?
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$3,548 KL.
$3,548 KL.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$3,548 KL.
$3,548 KL.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C low in Kuala Lumpur on August 27 due to persistent warm, humid conditions typical of the region's equatorial climate.** Official observations and forecast models from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department show overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold amid high dew points, extensive cloud cover, and urban heat retention that limits radiative cooling. Historical August data indicate average daily lows of 24–25°C, but recent patterns with elevated humidity (often 80–90%) and light winds have pushed minima upward, aligning with the market's 96.5% implied probability for 26°C. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or an atypical influx of drier air enhancing nighttime cooling below this level, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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