Official forecasts from Malaysia's Meteorological Department indicate a 25°C minimum for Kuala Lumpur on September 2 amid isolated thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for that threshold. Tropical equatorial conditions, combined with high humidity near 80-90% and persistent cloud cover, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows close to seasonal averages of 23-25°C. Thunderstorm activity and urban heat effects further support consensus around 25-27°C rather than deeper drops to 23°C or below, while probabilities for 30°C+ minima remain low given typical diurnal ranges. Updated model runs and METMalaysia briefings ahead of resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 2?
20°C or below 89%
27°C 87%
30°C or higher 86%
28°C 85%
20°C or below
89%
21°C
13%
22°C
13%
23°C
81%
24°C
42%
25°C
57%
26°C
82%
27°C
87%
28°C
85%
29°C
82%
30°C or higher
86%
20°C or below 89%
27°C 87%
30°C or higher 86%
28°C 85%
20°C or below
89%
21°C
13%
22°C
13%
23°C
81%
24°C
42%
25°C
57%
26°C
82%
27°C
87%
28°C
85%
29°C
82%
30°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Malaysia's Meteorological Department indicate a 25°C minimum for Kuala Lumpur on September 2 amid isolated thunderstorms, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for that threshold. Tropical equatorial conditions, combined with high humidity near 80-90% and persistent cloud cover, limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep overnight lows close to seasonal averages of 23-25°C. Thunderstorm activity and urban heat effects further support consensus around 25-27°C rather than deeper drops to 23°C or below, while probabilities for 30°C+ minima remain low given typical diurnal ranges. Updated model runs and METMalaysia briefings ahead of resolution will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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