Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures in London on June 11 will likely reach 9–10°C overnight, driven by increased cloud cover and moderate winds that limit radiative cooling after recent unsettled conditions. These align with near-normal June climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 11–13°C following a warmer-than-average May. Trader consensus on 10°C (69.5% implied probability) reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around this threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 9°C (26.1%) due to minor model spread on wind and humidity influences. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 12–24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on June 11?
10°C 95%
9°C 4.4%
8°C <1%
11°C <1%
$18,898 KL.
$18,898 KL.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
95%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 95%
9°C 4.4%
8°C <1%
11°C <1%
$18,898 KL.
$18,898 KL.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
95%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate minimum temperatures in London on June 11 will likely reach 9–10°C overnight, driven by increased cloud cover and moderate winds that limit radiative cooling after recent unsettled conditions. These align with near-normal June climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 11–13°C following a warmer-than-average May. Trader consensus on 10°C (69.5% implied probability) reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around this threshold, with lower probabilities assigned to 9°C (26.1%) due to minor model spread on wind and humidity influences. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 12–24 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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