The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a 10°C low in London on May 17 reflects official UK Met Office observations confirming this exact minimum amid typical mid-May spring conditions. Stable high pressure brought clear skies and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling and keeping temperatures from dropping further, consistent with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model consensus and historical May climatology showing average lows of 8–12°C. Traders have aligned with these verified station readings rather than preliminary forecasts. While post-event data revisions or a shift to an alternative urban heat-island site could theoretically adjust the figure, the strength of the current Met Office record makes such outcomes highly improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on May 17?
Lowest temperature in London on May 17?
10°C 99.8%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$15,043 KL.
$15,043 KL.
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
10°C 99.8%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$15,043 KL.
$15,043 KL.
May 17, 2026
2°C or below
$353 KL.
<1%
3°C
$937 KL.
<1%
4°C
$1,338 KL.
<1%
5°C
$850 KL.
<1%
6°C
$1,054 KL.
<1%
7°C
$1,057 KL.
<1%
8°C
$2,952 KL.
<1%
9°C
$808 KL.
<1%
10°C
$1,026 KL.
100%
11°C
$2,277 KL.
<1%
12°C or higher
$2,390 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a 10°C low in London on May 17 reflects official UK Met Office observations confirming this exact minimum amid typical mid-May spring conditions. Stable high pressure brought clear skies and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling and keeping temperatures from dropping further, consistent with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model consensus and historical May climatology showing average lows of 8–12°C. Traders have aligned with these verified station readings rather than preliminary forecasts. While post-event data revisions or a shift to an alternative urban heat-island site could theoretically adjust the figure, the strength of the current Met Office record makes such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,043Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a 10°C low in London on May 17 reflects official UK Met Office observations confirming this exact minimum amid typical mid-May spring conditions. Stable high pressure brought clear skies and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling and keeping temperatures from dropping further, consistent with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model consensus and historical May climatology showing average lows of 8–12°C. Traders have aligned with these verified station readings rather than preliminary forecasts. While post-event data revisions or a shift to an alternative urban heat-island site could theoretically adjust the figure, the strength of the current Met Office record makes such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$15,043Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for a 10°C low in London on May 17 reflects official UK Met Office observations confirming this exact minimum amid typical mid-May spring conditions. Stable high pressure brought clear skies and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling and keeping temperatures from dropping further, consistent with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model consensus and historical May climatology showing average lows of 8–12°C. Traders have aligned with these verified station readings rather than preliminary forecasts. While post-event data revisions or a shift to an alternative urban heat-island site could theoretically adjust the figure, the strength of the current Met Office record makes such outcomes highly improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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