Recent forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature for London on September 11 likely falling in the 13–16°C range, with the tight 15–16°C market split reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds. Mild conditions stem from a weakening high-pressure influence and an approaching Atlantic front that could bring light rain and limit temperature drops, keeping values near or slightly above seasonal averages for early September. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind strength, which could push the low toward 17°C if skies remain overcast or dip to 14°C or below with clearer intervals. Upcoming Met Office and ECMWF updates through September 10 will provide clearer guidance on these variables ahead of the observation period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 11?
16°C 42%
15°C 41%
13°C 15%
17°C 13%
10°C or below
3%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
15%
14°C
5%
15°C
41%
16°C
42%
17°C
13%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
16°C 42%
15°C 41%
13°C 15%
17°C 13%
10°C or below
3%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
15%
14°C
5%
15°C
41%
16°C
42%
17°C
13%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature for London on September 11 likely falling in the 13–16°C range, with the tight 15–16°C market split reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly winds. Mild conditions stem from a weakening high-pressure influence and an approaching Atlantic front that could bring light rain and limit temperature drops, keeping values near or slightly above seasonal averages for early September. Ensemble model spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind strength, which could push the low toward 17°C if skies remain overcast or dip to 14°C or below with clearer intervals. Upcoming Met Office and ECMWF updates through September 10 will provide clearer guidance on these variables ahead of the observation period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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