**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.** This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 10?
Lowest temperature in London on September 10?
12°C 49%
13°C 35%
14°C 11%
11°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C
6%
12°C
49%
13°C
35%
14°C
11%
15°C or higher
3%
12°C 49%
13°C 35%
14°C 11%
11°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
5°C or below
$116 KL.
1%
6°C
$45 KL.
1%
7°C
$68 KL.
1%
8°C
$262 KL.
1%
9°C
$513 KL.
2%
10°C
$159 KL.
5%
11°C
$472 KL.
6%
12°C
$1,869 KL.
49%
13°C
$808 KL.
35%
14°C
$558 KL.
11%
15°C or higher
$66 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.**
This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,936Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.**
This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,936Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS consistently point to a minimum temperature near 12°C in London overnight into early morning on September 10, driven by mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderating Atlantic air ahead of an approaching rain band.** This setup prevents significant radiative cooling while historical September averages hover around 11.9°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 12°C (47.5%) and 13°C (32.5%). Recent patterns of variable Atlantic low-pressure systems have kept overnight lows mild rather than crisp, with limited model divergence on the exact minimum. Traders appear to price in the latest guidance showing lows unlikely to dip below 11°C or reach 14°C or higher under these stable conditions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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