Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models indicate nighttime lows in Manila around 24–26°C on September 23, 2026, under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 85–95%. Cloud cover and rainfall limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, while light winds and typical urban heat retention prevent extremes. The near-even market odds between ≤21°C and ≥31°C reflect trader uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can alter overnight cooling rates by 2–3°C. Historical September averages hover near 25°C lows, with current patterns showing no major deviation or tropical cyclone influence to shift the range. Updated model runs and PAGASA advisories in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 23?
21°C or below 98%
31°C or higher 97%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
21°C or below
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
97%
21°C or below 98%
31°C or higher 97%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
98%
22°C
$0 KL.
39%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
40%
25°C
$0 KL.
21%
26°C
$0 KL.
21%
27°C
$0 KL.
39%
28°C
$0 KL.
39%
29°C
$0 KL.
39%
30°C
$0 KL.
39%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models indicate nighttime lows in Manila around 24–26°C on September 23, 2026, under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 85–95%. Cloud cover and rainfall limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, while light winds and typical urban heat retention prevent extremes. The near-even market odds between ≤21°C and ≥31°C reflect trader uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can alter overnight cooling rates by 2–3°C. Historical September averages hover near 25°C lows, with current patterns showing no major deviation or tropical cyclone influence to shift the range. Updated model runs and PAGASA advisories in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models indicate nighttime lows in Manila around 24–26°C on September 23, 2026, under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 85–95%. Cloud cover and rainfall limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, while light winds and typical urban heat retention prevent extremes. The near-even market odds between ≤21°C and ≥31°C reflect trader uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can alter overnight cooling rates by 2–3°C. Historical September averages hover near 25°C lows, with current patterns showing no major deviation or tropical cyclone influence to shift the range. Updated model runs and PAGASA advisories in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models indicate nighttime lows in Manila around 24–26°C on September 23, 2026, under persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 85–95%. Cloud cover and rainfall limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, while light winds and typical urban heat retention prevent extremes. The near-even market odds between ≤21°C and ≥31°C reflect trader uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which can alter overnight cooling rates by 2–3°C. Historical September averages hover near 25°C lows, with current patterns showing no major deviation or tropical cyclone influence to shift the range. Updated model runs and PAGASA advisories in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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