Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 68–69°F in Central Park on August 15, reflecting a stable overnight airmass with light winds and clear skies that limit radiative cooling variability. This consensus aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-August, where typical lows range 67–72°F amid moderate humidity and no significant frontal passages. Trader positioning at 98.5% implied probability on the 68–69°F bin captures this model agreement and limited upside or downside risk from current conditions. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected cloud cover could alter the low by a degree or two, while measurement at the official station remains the resolution standard.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
68-69°F 98%
64-65°F 2%
66-67°F 2%
62-63°F <1%
MỚI
$20,887 KL.
MỚI
$20,887 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
98%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 98%
64-65°F 2%
66-67°F 2%
62-63°F <1%
MỚI
$20,887 KL.
MỚI
$20,887 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
$336 KL.
<1%
58-59°F
$317 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$979 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$751 KL.
1%
64-65°F
$517 KL.
2%
66-67°F
$667 KL.
2%
68-69°F
$1,682 KL.
98%
70-71°F
$11,204 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,410 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,131 KL.
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 68–69°F in Central Park on August 15, reflecting a stable overnight airmass with light winds and clear skies that limit radiative cooling variability. This consensus aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-August, where typical lows range 67–72°F amid moderate humidity and no significant frontal passages. Trader positioning at 98.5% implied probability on the 68–69°F bin captures this model agreement and limited upside or downside risk from current conditions. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected cloud cover could alter the low by a degree or two, while measurement at the official station remains the resolution standard.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,887Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 68–69°F in Central Park on August 15, reflecting a stable overnight airmass with light winds and clear skies that limit radiative cooling variability. This consensus aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-August, where typical lows range 67–72°F amid moderate humidity and no significant frontal passages. Trader positioning at 98.5% implied probability on the 68–69°F bin captures this model agreement and limited upside or downside risk from current conditions. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected cloud cover could alter the low by a degree or two, while measurement at the official station remains the resolution standard.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$20,887Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 68–69°F in Central Park on August 15, reflecting a stable overnight airmass with light winds and clear skies that limit radiative cooling variability. This consensus aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-August, where typical lows range 67–72°F amid moderate humidity and no significant frontal passages. Trader positioning at 98.5% implied probability on the 68–69°F bin captures this model agreement and limited upside or downside risk from current conditions. A rapid shift in steering winds or unexpected cloud cover could alter the low by a degree or two, while measurement at the official station remains the resolution standard.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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