Recent official forecasts from Meteo-France and model consensus indicate the overnight low in Paris on August 13 will settle near 19°C under clear, calm conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain daytime heat. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for exactly 19°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and the narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 15–18°C, but the current heatwave pattern has elevated nighttime readings; only a sharp, unforecasted drop from revised model runs or localized measurement anomalies could realistically shift the outcome below this threshold before the observation window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
19°C 99.4%
18°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$13,302 KL.
$13,302 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.4%
18°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$13,302 KL.
$13,302 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$1,514 KL.
1%
19°C
$1,227 KL.
99%
20°C
$2,437 KL.
<1%
21°C
$2,812 KL.
<1%
22°C
$790 KL.
<1%
23°C
$747 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,052 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,122 KL.
<1%
26°C
$841 KL.
<1%
27°C
$375 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$385 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Meteo-France and model consensus indicate the overnight low in Paris on August 13 will settle near 19°C under clear, calm conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain daytime heat. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for exactly 19°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and the narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 15–18°C, but the current heatwave pattern has elevated nighttime readings; only a sharp, unforecasted drop from revised model runs or localized measurement anomalies could realistically shift the outcome below this threshold before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,302Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Meteo-France and model consensus indicate the overnight low in Paris on August 13 will settle near 19°C under clear, calm conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain daytime heat. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for exactly 19°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and the narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 15–18°C, but the current heatwave pattern has elevated nighttime readings; only a sharp, unforecasted drop from revised model runs or localized measurement anomalies could realistically shift the outcome below this threshold before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$13,302Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Meteo-France and model consensus indicate the overnight low in Paris on August 13 will settle near 19°C under clear, calm conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain daytime heat. This aligns with the strong market-implied probability for exactly 19°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data and the narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Historical August baselines show typical lows around 15–18°C, but the current heatwave pattern has elevated nighttime readings; only a sharp, unforecasted drop from revised model runs or localized measurement anomalies could realistically shift the outcome below this threshold before the observation window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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