A heatwave gripping Paris in mid-August 2026, with daytime highs forecast near 37–39°C on the 14th under sunny, light-wind conditions, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range. Official guidance from Météo-France and consistent model outputs point to minimum temperatures of 20–22°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, so current elevated readings reflect persistent warm advection and clear skies limiting radiative cooling. Traders appear to be pricing limited downside risk absent any late-model shift toward stronger nocturnal cooling before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
22°C 46%
21°C 32%
23°C 16%
20°C or below 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
7%
21°C
32%
22°C
46%
23°C
16%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
21°C 32%
23°C 16%
20°C or below 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$318 KL.
7%
21°C
$971 KL.
32%
22°C
$2,209 KL.
46%
23°C
$247 KL.
16%
24°C
$263 KL.
4%
25°C
$761 KL.
2%
26°C
$315 KL.
<1%
27°C
$289 KL.
<1%
28°C
$172 KL.
<1%
29°C
$172 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$182 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A heatwave gripping Paris in mid-August 2026, with daytime highs forecast near 37–39°C on the 14th under sunny, light-wind conditions, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range. Official guidance from Météo-France and consistent model outputs point to minimum temperatures of 20–22°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, so current elevated readings reflect persistent warm advection and clear skies limiting radiative cooling. Traders appear to be pricing limited downside risk absent any late-model shift toward stronger nocturnal cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,898Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A heatwave gripping Paris in mid-August 2026, with daytime highs forecast near 37–39°C on the 14th under sunny, light-wind conditions, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range. Official guidance from Météo-France and consistent model outputs point to minimum temperatures of 20–22°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, so current elevated readings reflect persistent warm advection and clear skies limiting radiative cooling. Traders appear to be pricing limited downside risk absent any late-model shift toward stronger nocturnal cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,898Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A heatwave gripping Paris in mid-August 2026, with daytime highs forecast near 37–39°C on the 14th under sunny, light-wind conditions, is the main driver keeping overnight lows in the low-20s°C range. Official guidance from Météo-France and consistent model outputs point to minimum temperatures of 20–22°C as the most probable outcomes, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C and 22°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 15–18°C, so current elevated readings reflect persistent warm advection and clear skies limiting radiative cooling. Traders appear to be pricing limited downside risk absent any late-model shift toward stronger nocturnal cooling before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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