Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 10?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,942 KL.
$37,942 KL.
Jun 10, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,942 KL.
$37,942 KL.
Jun 10, 2026
7°C or below
$1,027 KL.
No
8°C
$1,624 KL.
No
9°C
$1,143 KL.
No
10°C
$3,179 KL.
No
11°C
$4,066 KL.
No
12°C
$5,964 KL.
Yes
13°C
$13,942 KL.
No
14°C
$4,351 KL.
No
15°C
$944 KL.
No
16°C
$934 KL.
No
17°C or higher
$769 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,942Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$37,942Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Meteorological forecasts from major European models have converged on a minimum temperature of 12°C for Paris on June 10, driving the overwhelming 98.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Unsettled conditions with widespread cloud cover and light rain have kept overnight lows near seasonal norms of 11–13°C, consistent with June climatology and current surface observations. Official guidance highlights minimal diurnal temperature range due to persistent moisture and light winds, limiting the scope for sharper drops. Resolution hinges on the official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period; only an unanticipated late surge in radiational cooling or a localized measurement discrepancy at the primary monitoring site could realistically shift the recorded low away from 12°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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