Forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models shows an overnight minimum of 10°C for Paris on June 11, with cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation limiting further cooling below this threshold. This aligns with current synoptic conditions featuring a stable air mass and temperatures settling between 10°C and 19°C, consistent with recent observations and slightly below early-June climatological averages. Trader positioning at 99.6% implied probability for the 10°C outcome reflects high confidence in these official guidance products and the narrow resolution window for the lowest recorded value at the reference station. Only a sharp, unexpected radiative cooling event or localized measurement anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 11?
10°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$13,262 KL.
$13,262 KL.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$13,262 KL.
$13,262 KL.
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Forecast consensus from Météo-France and supporting models shows an overnight minimum of 10°C for Paris on June 11, with cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation limiting further cooling below this threshold. This aligns with current synoptic conditions featuring a stable air mass and temperatures settling between 10°C and 19°C, consistent with recent observations and slightly below early-June climatological averages. Trader positioning at 99.6% implied probability for the 10°C outcome reflects high confidence in these official guidance products and the narrow resolution window for the lowest recorded value at the reference station. Only a sharp, unexpected radiative cooling event or localized measurement anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp