Latest ensemble forecasts from European and American models point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 1 under building high pressure, light west-to-northwest winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with seasonal norms, where early-September average lows hover around 13°C, but subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture create the tight spread between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited disagreement, with traders weighting the consensus minimum near the historical baseline while noting that any increase in low-level humidity or lingering afternoon cloudiness could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated guidance expected from Météo-France and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
13°C 38%
14°C 34%
15°C 15%
12°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
8%
11°C
8%
12°C
14%
13°C
38%
14°C
34%
15°C
15%
16°C
11%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
2%
13°C 38%
14°C 34%
15°C 15%
12°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
10°C
$41 KL.
8%
11°C
$58 KL.
8%
12°C
$0 KL.
14%
13°C
$121 KL.
38%
14°C
$186 KL.
34%
15°C
$0 KL.
15%
16°C
$20 KL.
11%
17°C
$0 KL.
8%
18°C
$10 KL.
8%
19°C or higher
$10 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and American models point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 1 under building high pressure, light west-to-northwest winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with seasonal norms, where early-September average lows hover around 13°C, but subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture create the tight spread between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited disagreement, with traders weighting the consensus minimum near the historical baseline while noting that any increase in low-level humidity or lingering afternoon cloudiness could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated guidance expected from Météo-France and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$447Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and American models point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 1 under building high pressure, light west-to-northwest winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with seasonal norms, where early-September average lows hover around 13°C, but subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture create the tight spread between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited disagreement, with traders weighting the consensus minimum near the historical baseline while noting that any increase in low-level humidity or lingering afternoon cloudiness could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated guidance expected from Météo-France and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$447Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and American models point to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 1 under building high pressure, light west-to-northwest winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that favor radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with seasonal norms, where early-September average lows hover around 13°C, but subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture create the tight spread between 12°C and 15°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited disagreement, with traders weighting the consensus minimum near the historical baseline while noting that any increase in low-level humidity or lingering afternoon cloudiness could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated guidance expected from Météo-France and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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