Trader consensus on Polymarket has fully converged on a lowest temperature of 12°C or below in Seoul on May 17, reflecting official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration that recorded a nighttime low near 11°C under clear skies and northeasterly flow. This outcome aligns with spring climatology for the region, where early-May minimums typically fall between 10–14°C, and recent Global Forecast System model runs correctly anticipated modest cooling from a weak high-pressure ridge. No major forecast revisions or measurement discrepancies have emerged, leaving the market-implied probability at 100% with minimal scope for alternative thresholds to prevail.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$319,383 KL.
$319,383 KL.
May 17, 2026
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$319,383 KL.
$319,383 KL.
May 17, 2026
13°C
$3,830 KL.
<1%
14°C
$386,545 KL.
<1%
15°C
$1,073 KL.
<1%
16°C
$898 KL.
<1%
17°C
$850 KL.
<1%
18°C
$2,719 KL.
<1%
19°C
$3,145 KL.
<1%
20°C
$3,283 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,818 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$1,912 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has fully converged on a lowest temperature of 12°C or below in Seoul on May 17, reflecting official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration that recorded a nighttime low near 11°C under clear skies and northeasterly flow. This outcome aligns with spring climatology for the region, where early-May minimums typically fall between 10–14°C, and recent Global Forecast System model runs correctly anticipated modest cooling from a weak high-pressure ridge. No major forecast revisions or measurement discrepancies have emerged, leaving the market-implied probability at 100% with minimal scope for alternative thresholds to prevail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$319,383Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has fully converged on a lowest temperature of 12°C or below in Seoul on May 17, reflecting official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration that recorded a nighttime low near 11°C under clear skies and northeasterly flow. This outcome aligns with spring climatology for the region, where early-May minimums typically fall between 10–14°C, and recent Global Forecast System model runs correctly anticipated modest cooling from a weak high-pressure ridge. No major forecast revisions or measurement discrepancies have emerged, leaving the market-implied probability at 100% with minimal scope for alternative thresholds to prevail.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$319,383Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus on Polymarket has fully converged on a lowest temperature of 12°C or below in Seoul on May 17, reflecting official observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration that recorded a nighttime low near 11°C under clear skies and northeasterly flow. This outcome aligns with spring climatology for the region, where early-May minimums typically fall between 10–14°C, and recent Global Forecast System model runs correctly anticipated modest cooling from a weak high-pressure ridge. No major forecast revisions or measurement discrepancies have emerged, leaving the market-implied probability at 100% with minimal scope for alternative thresholds to prevail.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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