Recent forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a most likely minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with scattered showers and light easterly flow that limit overnight radiative cooling. The near-even market split between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in mesoscale features such as localized heavy rain bands or shifts in the subtropical ridge, which can alter boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds enough to change the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September lows average 24–26°C, so both tails require either enhanced cooling from persistent cloud cover and precipitation or an atypical warm-air advection event. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
22°C or below 100%
32°C or higher 97%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
100%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
97%
22°C or below 100%
32°C or higher 97%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$0 KL.
40%
26°C
$0 KL.
40%
27°C
$0 KL.
23%
28°C
$0 KL.
39%
29°C
$0 KL.
8%
30°C
$0 KL.
39%
31°C
$0 KL.
39%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a most likely minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with scattered showers and light easterly flow that limit overnight radiative cooling. The near-even market split between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in mesoscale features such as localized heavy rain bands or shifts in the subtropical ridge, which can alter boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds enough to change the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September lows average 24–26°C, so both tails require either enhanced cooling from persistent cloud cover and precipitation or an atypical warm-air advection event. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a most likely minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with scattered showers and light easterly flow that limit overnight radiative cooling. The near-even market split between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in mesoscale features such as localized heavy rain bands or shifts in the subtropical ridge, which can alter boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds enough to change the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September lows average 24–26°C, so both tails require either enhanced cooling from persistent cloud cover and precipitation or an atypical warm-air advection event. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Shenzhen indicate a most likely minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with scattered showers and light easterly flow that limit overnight radiative cooling. The near-even market split between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher reflects lingering uncertainty in mesoscale features such as localized heavy rain bands or shifts in the subtropical ridge, which can alter boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds enough to change the overnight low by several degrees. Historical September lows average 24–26°C, so both tails require either enhanced cooling from persistent cloud cover and precipitation or an atypical warm-air advection event. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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