Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a Tokyo minimum of 18°C for June 11, matching the long-term climatological normal of roughly 18.2–18.3°C under stable early-summer conditions without strong cold-air advection. This alignment underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 18°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data from official stations. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban effects or final reporting adjustments, though historical June patterns and current model consensus sharply limit realistic alternative outcomes. Resolution depends on the day’s confirmed low from JMA monitoring.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$19,074 KL.
$19,074 KL.
Jun 11, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$19,074 KL.
$19,074 KL.
Jun 11, 2026
13°C or below
$517 KL.
<1%
14°C
$1,410 KL.
<1%
15°C
$996 KL.
<1%
16°C
$862 KL.
1%
17°C
$926 KL.
<1%
18°C
$2,614 KL.
100%
19°C
$4,747 KL.
<1%
20°C
$5,376 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,405 KL.
<1%
22°C
$739 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$373 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a Tokyo minimum of 18°C for June 11, matching the long-term climatological normal of roughly 18.2–18.3°C under stable early-summer conditions without strong cold-air advection. This alignment underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 18°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data from official stations. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban effects or final reporting adjustments, though historical June patterns and current model consensus sharply limit realistic alternative outcomes. Resolution depends on the day’s confirmed low from JMA monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,074Ngày kết thúc
Jun 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a Tokyo minimum of 18°C for June 11, matching the long-term climatological normal of roughly 18.2–18.3°C under stable early-summer conditions without strong cold-air advection. This alignment underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 18°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data from official stations. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban effects or final reporting adjustments, though historical June patterns and current model consensus sharply limit realistic alternative outcomes. Resolution depends on the day’s confirmed low from JMA monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$19,074Ngày kết thúc
Jun 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a Tokyo minimum of 18°C for June 11, matching the long-term climatological normal of roughly 18.2–18.3°C under stable early-summer conditions without strong cold-air advection. This alignment underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 18°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational data from official stations. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban effects or final reporting adjustments, though historical June patterns and current model consensus sharply limit realistic alternative outcomes. Resolution depends on the day’s confirmed low from JMA monitoring.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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