Latest model guidance from Environment Canada and global ensembles points to an overnight low of 17–18 °C in Toronto on August 22, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies after daytime highs near 25 °C that allow moderate radiative cooling. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 17 °C (28 %), 18 °C (30.5 %), and 19 °C+ (28.5 %) outcomes include boundary-layer humidity, surface wind speeds, and any lingering cloud cover that could limit heat loss; urban heat-island effects may also nudge readings slightly higher downtown. With climatological August lows averaging near 17 °C and no major synoptic shift expected before resolution, trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 22?
18°C 31%
19°C or higher 29%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
14%
15°C
16%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
31%
19°C or higher
29%
18°C 31%
19°C or higher 29%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
14%
15°C
16%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
31%
19°C or higher
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest model guidance from Environment Canada and global ensembles points to an overnight low of 17–18 °C in Toronto on August 22, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies after daytime highs near 25 °C that allow moderate radiative cooling. Key variables differentiating the tightly bunched 17 °C (28 %), 18 °C (30.5 %), and 19 °C+ (28.5 %) outcomes include boundary-layer humidity, surface wind speeds, and any lingering cloud cover that could limit heat loss; urban heat-island effects may also nudge readings slightly higher downtown. With climatological August lows averaging near 17 °C and no major synoptic shift expected before resolution, trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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