Recent model runs for Warsaw show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a westerly flow, producing market-implied odds split near 50/50 between a minimum of 12 °C or below and 22 °C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and European ensembles indicates a most-likely low near 13 °C on September 5, with scattered showers and 20–30 km/h winds limiting temperature drops. Clearer intervals in some GFS solutions allow stronger surface cooling, while increased cloud cover and warmer advection in others keep readings several degrees higher. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 5?
22°C or higher 95%
12°C or below 51%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
12°C or below
51%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
2%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C or higher
95%
22°C or higher 95%
12°C or below 51%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
12°C or below
$0 KL.
51%
13°C
$0 KL.
26%
14°C
$0 KL.
26%
15°C
$0 KL.
49%
16°C
$0 KL.
49%
17°C
$0 KL.
2%
18°C
$0 KL.
49%
19°C
$0 KL.
49%
20°C
$0 KL.
49%
21°C
$0 KL.
49%
22°C or higher
$0 KL.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Warsaw show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a westerly flow, producing market-implied odds split near 50/50 between a minimum of 12 °C or below and 22 °C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and European ensembles indicates a most-likely low near 13 °C on September 5, with scattered showers and 20–30 km/h winds limiting temperature drops. Clearer intervals in some GFS solutions allow stronger surface cooling, while increased cloud cover and warmer advection in others keep readings several degrees higher. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Warsaw show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a westerly flow, producing market-implied odds split near 50/50 between a minimum of 12 °C or below and 22 °C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and European ensembles indicates a most-likely low near 13 °C on September 5, with scattered showers and 20–30 km/h winds limiting temperature drops. Clearer intervals in some GFS solutions allow stronger surface cooling, while increased cloud cover and warmer advection in others keep readings several degrees higher. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs for Warsaw show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing ahead of a westerly flow, producing market-implied odds split near 50/50 between a minimum of 12 °C or below and 22 °C or higher. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and European ensembles indicates a most-likely low near 13 °C on September 5, with scattered showers and 20–30 km/h winds limiting temperature drops. Clearer intervals in some GFS solutions allow stronger surface cooling, while increased cloud cover and warmer advection in others keep readings several degrees higher. Updated high-resolution runs and satellite-derived cloud trends expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this range before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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