**Forecast models for Wuhan on September 21, 2026, show an overnight low near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with a modest chance of light rain or drizzle.** Multiple sources, including regional meteorological updates and ensemble guidance, converge on this range, with highs expected around 27–29°C and light northerly winds. Cloud cover and any precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from falling sharply. This positions the 22°C outcome as the central market-implied probability at 44%, closely matched by the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher contracts near 43%. Traders appear to weigh the baseline forecast against typical model spread in late-September conditions, where small shifts in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or wind could nudge the low a degree or two in either direction. Historical September averages for the region support mild overnight readings, but current synoptic patterns introduce limited downside risk for significantly cooler readings. Upcoming model runs and local observatory briefings will likely refine the exact minimum, sustaining tight spreads among the leading outcomes until resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
28°C or higher 94%
18°C or below 90%
22°C 44%
21°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
90%
19°C
18%
20°C
33%
21°C
40%
22°C
44%
23°C
32%
24°C
15%
25°C
15%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C or higher
94%
28°C or higher 94%
18°C or below 90%
22°C 44%
21°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$0 KL.
90%
19°C
$0 KL.
18%
20°C
$0 KL.
33%
21°C
$0 KL.
40%
22°C
$17 KL.
44%
23°C
$0 KL.
32%
24°C
$0 KL.
15%
25°C
$0 KL.
15%
26°C
$0 KL.
6%
27°C
$0 KL.
13%
28°C or higher
$0 KL.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Wuhan on September 21, 2026, show an overnight low near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with a modest chance of light rain or drizzle.** Multiple sources, including regional meteorological updates and ensemble guidance, converge on this range, with highs expected around 27–29°C and light northerly winds. Cloud cover and any precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from falling sharply.
This positions the 22°C outcome as the central market-implied probability at 44%, closely matched by the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher contracts near 43%. Traders appear to weigh the baseline forecast against typical model spread in late-September conditions, where small shifts in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or wind could nudge the low a degree or two in either direction. Historical September averages for the region support mild overnight readings, but current synoptic patterns introduce limited downside risk for significantly cooler readings.
Upcoming model runs and local observatory briefings will likely refine the exact minimum, sustaining tight spreads among the leading outcomes until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Wuhan on September 21, 2026, show an overnight low near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with a modest chance of light rain or drizzle.** Multiple sources, including regional meteorological updates and ensemble guidance, converge on this range, with highs expected around 27–29°C and light northerly winds. Cloud cover and any precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from falling sharply.
This positions the 22°C outcome as the central market-implied probability at 44%, closely matched by the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher contracts near 43%. Traders appear to weigh the baseline forecast against typical model spread in late-September conditions, where small shifts in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or wind could nudge the low a degree or two in either direction. Historical September averages for the region support mild overnight readings, but current synoptic patterns introduce limited downside risk for significantly cooler readings.
Upcoming model runs and local observatory briefings will likely refine the exact minimum, sustaining tight spreads among the leading outcomes until resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$17Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Wuhan on September 21, 2026, show an overnight low near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with a modest chance of light rain or drizzle.** Multiple sources, including regional meteorological updates and ensemble guidance, converge on this range, with highs expected around 27–29°C and light northerly winds. Cloud cover and any precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures from falling sharply. This positions the 22°C outcome as the central market-implied probability at 44%, closely matched by the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher contracts near 43%. Traders appear to weigh the baseline forecast against typical model spread in late-September conditions, where small shifts in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or wind could nudge the low a degree or two in either direction. Historical September averages for the region support mild overnight readings, but current synoptic patterns introduce limited downside risk for significantly cooler readings. Upcoming model runs and local observatory briefings will likely refine the exact minimum, sustaining tight spreads among the leading outcomes until resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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