**Trader consensus on the Zhengzhou minimum temperature for August 23 remains closely split, with 25°C or higher at 52% implied probability versus 15°C or below at 43%, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high is expected to maintain humid conditions and limit temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing typical lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. However, variable cloud cover, localized precipitation, and potential weak frontal passages could enhance surface cooling through reduced downward longwave radiation or evaporative effects, pushing the minimum lower. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, key variables that determine whether the overnight low stays above or falls well below the 25°C threshold. Updated CMA and global forecast model outputs ahead of the 24-hour period will be the next key inputs for resolving this range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
15°C or below 85%
22°C 36%
16°C 35%
17°C 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
85%
16°C
35%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
35%
22°C
36%
23°C
19%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
53%
15°C or below 85%
22°C 36%
16°C 35%
17°C 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$20 KL.
85%
16°C
$20 KL.
35%
17°C
$20 KL.
35%
18°C
$20 KL.
35%
19°C
$20 KL.
35%
20°C
$20 KL.
35%
21°C
$20 KL.
35%
22°C
$25 KL.
36%
23°C
$29 KL.
19%
24°C
$0 KL.
20%
25°C or higher
$40 KL.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Zhengzhou minimum temperature for August 23 remains closely split, with 25°C or higher at 52% implied probability versus 15°C or below at 43%, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high is expected to maintain humid conditions and limit temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing typical lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. However, variable cloud cover, localized precipitation, and potential weak frontal passages could enhance surface cooling through reduced downward longwave radiation or evaporative effects, pushing the minimum lower. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, key variables that determine whether the overnight low stays above or falls well below the 25°C threshold. Updated CMA and global forecast model outputs ahead of the 24-hour period will be the next key inputs for resolving this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$230Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Zhengzhou minimum temperature for August 23 remains closely split, with 25°C or higher at 52% implied probability versus 15°C or below at 43%, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high is expected to maintain humid conditions and limit temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing typical lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. However, variable cloud cover, localized precipitation, and potential weak frontal passages could enhance surface cooling through reduced downward longwave radiation or evaporative effects, pushing the minimum lower. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, key variables that determine whether the overnight low stays above or falls well below the 25°C threshold. Updated CMA and global forecast model outputs ahead of the 24-hour period will be the next key inputs for resolving this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$230Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Zhengzhou minimum temperature for August 23 remains closely split, with 25°C or higher at 52% implied probability versus 15°C or below at 43%, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high is expected to maintain humid conditions and limit temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing typical lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. However, variable cloud cover, localized precipitation, and potential weak frontal passages could enhance surface cooling through reduced downward longwave radiation or evaporative effects, pushing the minimum lower. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, key variables that determine whether the overnight low stays above or falls well below the 25°C threshold. Updated CMA and global forecast model outputs ahead of the 24-hour period will be the next key inputs for resolving this range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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