Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's reelection bid in the R+21 Missouri 7th District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability of GOP victory, bolstered by his 71.6% 2024 general election win over Democrat Missi Hesketh and dominant 83% Republican primary performance. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal Burlison's $858,000 cash on hand dwarfs Hesketh's $20,000 and underfunded GOP primary challengers John Casey and Grayson Hunt, reflecting the district's entrenched conservative lean and lack of competitive Democratic recruitment. While the August 4 primaries pose minimal risk to party control, scenarios like a Burlison scandal, primary upset weakening the nominee, or a massive national Democratic wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-07 House Election Winner
MO-07 House Election Winner
$19,120 KL.
$19,120 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$19,120 KL.
$19,120 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,755 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,365 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's reelection bid in the R+21 Missouri 7th District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability of GOP victory, bolstered by his 71.6% 2024 general election win over Democrat Missi Hesketh and dominant 83% Republican primary performance. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal Burlison's $858,000 cash on hand dwarfs Hesketh's $20,000 and underfunded GOP primary challengers John Casey and Grayson Hunt, reflecting the district's entrenched conservative lean and lack of competitive Democratic recruitment. While the August 4 primaries pose minimal risk to party control, scenarios like a Burlison scandal, primary upset weakening the nominee, or a massive national Democratic wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,120Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's reelection bid in the R+21 Missouri 7th District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability of GOP victory, bolstered by his 71.6% 2024 general election win over Democrat Missi Hesketh and dominant 83% Republican primary performance. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal Burlison's $858,000 cash on hand dwarfs Hesketh's $20,000 and underfunded GOP primary challengers John Casey and Grayson Hunt, reflecting the district's entrenched conservative lean and lack of competitive Democratic recruitment. While the August 4 primaries pose minimal risk to party control, scenarios like a Burlison scandal, primary upset weakening the nominee, or a massive national Democratic wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$19,120Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's reelection bid in the R+21 Missouri 7th District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability of GOP victory, bolstered by his 71.6% 2024 general election win over Democrat Missi Hesketh and dominant 83% Republican primary performance. Recent FEC filings through March 31 reveal Burlison's $858,000 cash on hand dwarfs Hesketh's $20,000 and underfunded GOP primary challengers John Casey and Grayson Hunt, reflecting the district's entrenched conservative lean and lack of competitive Democratic recruitment. While the August 4 primaries pose minimal risk to party control, scenarios like a Burlison scandal, primary upset weakening the nominee, or a massive national Democratic wave could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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