Incumbent Republican Rep. Cliff Bentz holds a commanding position in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 primary, bolstered by $1.4 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible funds and the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where he won 64% in 2024. All major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical double-digit margins and more registered Republicans than Democrats. The fragmented Democratic primary field, with six low-funded candidates raising under $70,000 combined, underscores trader consensus at 90.5% for a GOP hold. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset for Bentz, a major scandal, or unprecedented Democratic national spending amid a midterm backlash.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,323 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$2,744 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Cliff Bentz holds a commanding position in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 primary, bolstered by $1.4 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible funds and the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where he won 64% in 2024. All major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical double-digit margins and more registered Republicans than Democrats. The fragmented Democratic primary field, with six low-funded candidates raising under $70,000 combined, underscores trader consensus at 90.5% for a GOP hold. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset for Bentz, a major scandal, or unprecedented Democratic national spending amid a midterm backlash.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,068Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Cliff Bentz holds a commanding position in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 primary, bolstered by $1.4 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible funds and the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where he won 64% in 2024. All major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical double-digit margins and more registered Republicans than Democrats. The fragmented Democratic primary field, with six low-funded candidates raising under $70,000 combined, underscores trader consensus at 90.5% for a GOP hold. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset for Bentz, a major scandal, or unprecedented Democratic national spending amid a midterm backlash.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,068Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Cliff Bentz holds a commanding position in Oregon's 2nd Congressional District ahead of the May 19 primary, bolstered by $1.4 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible funds and the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where he won 64% in 2024. All major forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical double-digit margins and more registered Republicans than Democrats. The fragmented Democratic primary field, with six low-funded candidates raising under $70,000 combined, underscores trader consensus at 90.5% for a GOP hold. Scenarios to shift odds include a primary upset for Bentz, a major scandal, or unprecedented Democratic national spending amid a midterm backlash.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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