Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District with nearly 80 percent in the May primary, advancing to the November general election against Democrat Chris Beck. The district, encompassing much of eastern and southern Oregon, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters and Bentz’s 64 percent victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and a historically Republican electorate since 1981 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.5 percent. A major scandal involving Bentz, an unexpectedly strong national Democratic midterm environment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent’s reelection.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,187 KL.
95%
Democratic Party
$4,650 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District with nearly 80 percent in the May primary, advancing to the November general election against Democrat Chris Beck. The district, encompassing much of eastern and southern Oregon, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters and Bentz’s 64 percent victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and a historically Republican electorate since 1981 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.5 percent. A major scandal involving Bentz, an unexpectedly strong national Democratic midterm environment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent’s reelection.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,837Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District with nearly 80 percent in the May primary, advancing to the November general election against Democrat Chris Beck. The district, encompassing much of eastern and southern Oregon, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters and Bentz’s 64 percent victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and a historically Republican electorate since 1981 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.5 percent. A major scandal involving Bentz, an unexpectedly strong national Democratic midterm environment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent’s reelection.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$8,837Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured the nomination for Oregon’s 2nd Congressional District with nearly 80 percent in the May primary, advancing to the November general election against Democrat Chris Beck. The district, encompassing much of eastern and southern Oregon, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent “Solid R” or “Safe R” ratings from forecasters and Bentz’s 64 percent victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and a historically Republican electorate since 1981 underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 94.5 percent. A major scandal involving Bentz, an unexpectedly strong national Democratic midterm environment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent’s reelection.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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