Oura's confidential IPO filing in May 2026, following its $900 million Series E round that established an $11 billion private valuation, anchors current trader sentiment around mid-teens billion-dollar outcomes. Strong revenue momentum—doubling to roughly $500 million in 2024 and on track for $1 billion in 2025 with potential to approach $2 billion in 2026—supports implied probabilities clustered near the $7.5–12.5 billion range, reflecting both the company's 5.5 million cumulative ring sales and subscription-driven margins in the competitive wearables sector. Market-implied odds remain closely contested because IPO pricing will hinge on prevailing equity market conditions, comparable multiples for growth-oriented health-tech names, and any revisions to 2026 guidance amid AI feature expansion and international scaling. Key upcoming catalysts include SEC review completion and potential listing windows later in 2026 that could shift resolution probabilities across the defined market-cap tranches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$7.5B–$10B 17%
No IPO before January 2027 14.4%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$20B+ 14%
$184,901 KL.
$184,901 KL.
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
17%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
12%
$20B+
14%
No IPO before January 2027
10%
$7.5B–$10B 17%
No IPO before January 2027 14.4%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$20B+ 14%
$184,901 KL.
$184,901 KL.
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
17%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
12%
$20B+
14%
No IPO before January 2027
10%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's confidential IPO filing in May 2026, following its $900 million Series E round that established an $11 billion private valuation, anchors current trader sentiment around mid-teens billion-dollar outcomes. Strong revenue momentum—doubling to roughly $500 million in 2024 and on track for $1 billion in 2025 with potential to approach $2 billion in 2026—supports implied probabilities clustered near the $7.5–12.5 billion range, reflecting both the company's 5.5 million cumulative ring sales and subscription-driven margins in the competitive wearables sector. Market-implied odds remain closely contested because IPO pricing will hinge on prevailing equity market conditions, comparable multiples for growth-oriented health-tech names, and any revisions to 2026 guidance amid AI feature expansion and international scaling. Key upcoming catalysts include SEC review completion and potential listing windows later in 2026 that could shift resolution probabilities across the defined market-cap tranches.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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