The fragmented Democratic field in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader consensus, with Dem-Rep advancing holding a clear lead at 72.5%. Multiple Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and Matt Mahan divide support across polls, while Republicans consolidate behind Steve Hilton following Donald Trump's endorsement. This dynamic reduces the risk of two Republicans reaching the general election, keeping Rep-Rep at just 6.9%. Recent developments such as Eric Swalwell's April withdrawal and Betty Yee's suspension with endorsement of Steyer have modestly boosted Democratic consolidation prospects, lifting Dem-Dem to 21.0%. The upcoming primary and early voting patterns will determine whether one Democrat joins Hilton or the field produces an all-Democratic runoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtParties advancing from the California Governor primary?
Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
Dem-Rep 73%
Dem-Dem 22%
Rep-Rep 6.3%
$72,165 KL.
$72,165 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
Dem-Rep
73%
Dem-Dem
22%
Rep-Rep
6%
Dem-Rep 73%
Dem-Dem 22%
Rep-Rep 6.3%
$72,165 KL.
$72,165 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
Dem-Rep
$30,405 KL.
73%
Dem-Dem
$30,012 KL.
22%
Rep-Rep
$11,747 KL.
6%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The fragmented Democratic field in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader consensus, with Dem-Rep advancing holding a clear lead at 72.5%. Multiple Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and Matt Mahan divide support across polls, while Republicans consolidate behind Steve Hilton following Donald Trump's endorsement. This dynamic reduces the risk of two Republicans reaching the general election, keeping Rep-Rep at just 6.9%. Recent developments such as Eric Swalwell's April withdrawal and Betty Yee's suspension with endorsement of Steyer have modestly boosted Democratic consolidation prospects, lifting Dem-Dem to 21.0%. The upcoming primary and early voting patterns will determine whether one Democrat joins Hilton or the field produces an all-Democratic runoff.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Thị trường mở: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$72,165Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.The fragmented Democratic field in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader consensus, with Dem-Rep advancing holding a clear lead at 72.5%. Multiple Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and Matt Mahan divide support across polls, while Republicans consolidate behind Steve Hilton following Donald Trump's endorsement. This dynamic reduces the risk of two Republicans reaching the general election, keeping Rep-Rep at just 6.9%. Recent developments such as Eric Swalwell's April withdrawal and Betty Yee's suspension with endorsement of Steyer have modestly boosted Democratic consolidation prospects, lifting Dem-Dem to 21.0%. The upcoming primary and early voting patterns will determine whether one Democrat joins Hilton or the field produces an all-Democratic runoff.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Khối lượng
$72,165Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The fragmented Democratic field in California's June 2 top-two primary continues to shape trader consensus, with Dem-Rep advancing holding a clear lead at 72.5%. Multiple Democratic contenders including Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, and Matt Mahan divide support across polls, while Republicans consolidate behind Steve Hilton following Donald Trump's endorsement. This dynamic reduces the risk of two Republicans reaching the general election, keeping Rep-Rep at just 6.9%. Recent developments such as Eric Swalwell's April withdrawal and Betty Yee's suspension with endorsement of Steyer have modestly boosted Democratic consolidation prospects, lifting Dem-Dem to 21.0%. The upcoming primary and early voting patterns will determine whether one Democrat joins Hilton or the field produces an all-Democratic runoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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