Hong Kong's August rainfall averages roughly 400–500 mm, driven primarily by the southwest monsoon and peak tropical cyclone season. As of mid-August 2026, only about 125 mm has fallen in the first nine days, leaving the remainder of the month decisive. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors near-normal totals overall, yet model consensus on typhoon tracks and monsoon strength remains split, creating tight market clustering around 450–525 mm bands. Heavy single-day events from landfalling systems or persistent troughs could push totals well above average, while suppressed activity would favor drier outcomes near or below 450 mm.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPrecipitation in Hong Kong in August?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
550-600mm 27.8%
525-550mm 26.8%
650-700mm 20%
<425mm 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
<425mm
28%
425-450mm
13%
450-475mm
31%
475-500mm
24%
500-525mm
34%
525-550mm
27%
550-600mm
28%
600-650mm
16%
650-700mm
20%
700mm+
18%
550-600mm 27.8%
525-550mm 26.8%
650-700mm 20%
<425mm 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
<425mm
$1,656 KL.
28%
425-450mm
$248 KL.
13%
450-475mm
$177 KL.
31%
475-500mm
$123 KL.
24%
500-525mm
$145 KL.
34%
525-550mm
$198 KL.
27%
550-600mm
$161 KL.
28%
600-650mm
$147 KL.
16%
650-700mm
$110 KL.
20%
700mm+
$833 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's August rainfall averages roughly 400–500 mm, driven primarily by the southwest monsoon and peak tropical cyclone season. As of mid-August 2026, only about 125 mm has fallen in the first nine days, leaving the remainder of the month decisive. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors near-normal totals overall, yet model consensus on typhoon tracks and monsoon strength remains split, creating tight market clustering around 450–525 mm bands. Heavy single-day events from landfalling systems or persistent troughs could push totals well above average, while suppressed activity would favor drier outcomes near or below 450 mm.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,797Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's August rainfall averages roughly 400–500 mm, driven primarily by the southwest monsoon and peak tropical cyclone season. As of mid-August 2026, only about 125 mm has fallen in the first nine days, leaving the remainder of the month decisive. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors near-normal totals overall, yet model consensus on typhoon tracks and monsoon strength remains split, creating tight market clustering around 450–525 mm bands. Heavy single-day events from landfalling systems or persistent troughs could push totals well above average, while suppressed activity would favor drier outcomes near or below 450 mm.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,797Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's August rainfall averages roughly 400–500 mm, driven primarily by the southwest monsoon and peak tropical cyclone season. As of mid-August 2026, only about 125 mm has fallen in the first nine days, leaving the remainder of the month decisive. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook favors near-normal totals overall, yet model consensus on typhoon tracks and monsoon strength remains split, creating tight market clustering around 450–525 mm bands. Heavy single-day events from landfalling systems or persistent troughs could push totals well above average, while suppressed activity would favor drier outcomes near or below 450 mm.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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