Recent polling and by-election results have driven trader consensus toward the Parti Québécois as the most likely winner of the 2026 Quebec general election. Under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, the PQ has captured several by-elections and held steady near 30 percent support in surveys, benefiting from its established organizational base and focus on sovereignty issues. The Coalition Avenir Québec has weakened following François Legault’s resignation and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. The Quebec Liberal Party, led by Charles Milliard, has shown gains in recent voter-intention polls but remains behind in the market’s assessment of overall seat prospects. Minor parties including the Conservatives, Greens, and Québec Solidaire register minimal support across available data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,114 KL.
$505,114 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
59%
PLQ
30%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,114 KL.
$505,114 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$52,361 KL.
59%
PLQ
$56,150 KL.
30%
CAQ
$59,486 KL.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 KL.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 KL.
<1%
QS
$58,291 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling and by-election results have driven trader consensus toward the Parti Québécois as the most likely winner of the 2026 Quebec general election. Under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, the PQ has captured several by-elections and held steady near 30 percent support in surveys, benefiting from its established organizational base and focus on sovereignty issues. The Coalition Avenir Québec has weakened following François Legault’s resignation and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. The Quebec Liberal Party, led by Charles Milliard, has shown gains in recent voter-intention polls but remains behind in the market’s assessment of overall seat prospects. Minor parties including the Conservatives, Greens, and Québec Solidaire register minimal support across available data.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$505,114Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling and by-election results have driven trader consensus toward the Parti Québécois as the most likely winner of the 2026 Quebec general election. Under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, the PQ has captured several by-elections and held steady near 30 percent support in surveys, benefiting from its established organizational base and focus on sovereignty issues. The Coalition Avenir Québec has weakened following François Legault’s resignation and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. The Quebec Liberal Party, led by Charles Milliard, has shown gains in recent voter-intention polls but remains behind in the market’s assessment of overall seat prospects. Minor parties including the Conservatives, Greens, and Québec Solidaire register minimal support across available data.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$505,114Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and by-election results have driven trader consensus toward the Parti Québécois as the most likely winner of the 2026 Quebec general election. Under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, the PQ has captured several by-elections and held steady near 30 percent support in surveys, benefiting from its established organizational base and focus on sovereignty issues. The Coalition Avenir Québec has weakened following François Legault’s resignation and the subsequent leadership transition to Christine Fréchette. The Quebec Liberal Party, led by Charles Milliard, has shown gains in recent voter-intention polls but remains behind in the market’s assessment of overall seat prospects. Minor parties including the Conservatives, Greens, and Québec Solidaire register minimal support across available data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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