Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck near 30 percent support ahead of the October 2026 vote, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has stabilized around 16-18 percent following its April leadership change. These trends underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ win, driven by the party's established strength across rural and regional ridings under first-past-the-post rules and consolidation of nationalist voters. The PLQ's rebound under new leadership narrows the gap but faces structural challenges in translating popular-vote parity into a majority. Rising Conservative support and Québec solidaire's lower numbers further fragment the opposition, leaving seat projections sensitive to turnout and late-campaign shifts in key battlegrounds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 KL.
$505,101 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
59%
PLQ
30%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 KL.
$505,101 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$52,348 KL.
59%
PLQ
$56,150 KL.
30%
CAQ
$59,486 KL.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 KL.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 KL.
<1%
QS
$58,291 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck near 30 percent support ahead of the October 2026 vote, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has stabilized around 16-18 percent following its April leadership change. These trends underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ win, driven by the party's established strength across rural and regional ridings under first-past-the-post rules and consolidation of nationalist voters. The PLQ's rebound under new leadership narrows the gap but faces structural challenges in translating popular-vote parity into a majority. Rising Conservative support and Québec solidaire's lower numbers further fragment the opposition, leaving seat projections sensitive to turnout and late-campaign shifts in key battlegrounds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$505,101Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck near 30 percent support ahead of the October 2026 vote, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has stabilized around 16-18 percent following its April leadership change. These trends underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ win, driven by the party's established strength across rural and regional ridings under first-past-the-post rules and consolidation of nationalist voters. The PLQ's rebound under new leadership narrows the gap but faces structural challenges in translating popular-vote parity into a majority. Rising Conservative support and Québec solidaire's lower numbers further fragment the opposition, leaving seat projections sensitive to turnout and late-campaign shifts in key battlegrounds.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$505,101Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party running neck-and-neck near 30 percent support ahead of the October 2026 vote, while the Coalition Avenir Québec has stabilized around 16-18 percent following its April leadership change. These trends underpin trader consensus favoring a PQ win, driven by the party's established strength across rural and regional ridings under first-past-the-post rules and consolidation of nationalist voters. The PLQ's rebound under new leadership narrows the gap but faces structural challenges in translating popular-vote parity into a majority. Rising Conservative support and Québec solidaire's lower numbers further fragment the opposition, leaving seat projections sensitive to turnout and late-campaign shifts in key battlegrounds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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