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icon for SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

icon for SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?

Ended:

Ended:

Up

>99% khả năng
Polymarket

$38,190 KL.

Up

>99% khả năng
Polymarket

$38,190 KL.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong investor demand for SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO, priced at $135 per share on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, has created near-certain expectations of a first-day gain. Oversubscription from institutions, a 30% retail allocation target, and excitement over Starlink expansion, reusable rocket technology, and emerging space-based AI data centers have fueled aggressive buying. This mirrors historical patterns for high-profile tech debuts where supply constraints and hype drive opening premiums of 10-20% or more. While regulatory delays or sudden macroeconomic shocks remain theoretical risks, current order flow and pre-market momentum make a down close extremely unlikely in traders’ consensus view.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$38,190
Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Kết quả đề xuất: Up

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: Up

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strong investor demand for SpaceX’s record $75 billion IPO, priced at $135 per share on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX, has created near-certain expectations of a first-day gain. Oversubscription from institutions, a 30% retail allocation target, and excitement over Starlink expansion, reusable rocket technology, and emerging space-based AI data centers have fueled aggressive buying. This mirrors historical patterns for high-profile tech debuts where supply constraints and hype drive opening premiums of 10-20% or more. While regulatory delays or sudden macroeconomic shocks remain theoretical risks, current order flow and pre-market momentum make a down close extremely unlikely in traders’ consensus view.

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.”

The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market.

If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$38,190
Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 1:40 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the opening share price on that day. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official opening or closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which both an official opening and closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Kết quả đề xuất: Up

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: Up

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Up." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?" has generated $38.2K in total trading volume. SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Up or Down markets attract active traders reacting to live price movements in real time — this level of activity helps ensure the current Up/Down odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live prices and place a trade directly on this page.

To trade on "SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?," decide whether you believe SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price at noon ET on the resolution date will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price at noon ET on June 9. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Up." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?" market resolves based on a comparison of SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?'s price at noon ET on the resolution date versus noon ET on June 9, using Binance SPACEX-IPO-CLOSING-SHARE-PRICE-UPDOWN-ON-FIRST-DAY-20260607181533420/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the the resolution date noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.