Recent polling for Spain’s November 29 general election shows EH Bildu positioned for 7–8 seats across the Basque Country and Navarre, reflecting gains in vote share within the abertzale nationalist space at the expense of the PNV. The Sociómetro survey projects 7 seats in the CAV alone while GAD3 attributes 8 overall, consistent with EH Bildu’s rising support in Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa under D’Hondt allocation. This produces tight market pricing between 7 and 8 seats because small shifts in provincial turnout or nationalist vote splits can alter the final seat total by one or two. The PNV’s projected decline and competition from other parties further compress outcomes near the historical range, leaving limited room for 9+ or sub-7 results absent late swings in key constituencies.